Jonathan M. Winter

Academic Appointments

Associate Professor of Geography
Adjunct Associate Professor of Earth Sciences

Climate is an important driver of human activities at global to local scales.  My research and teaching explore climate prediction and the impacts of climate variability and change on water resources and agriculture.  I am particularly interested in the following areas: (1) Future water availability for irrigation and its potential effects on crop yields, (2) Development of high-resolution, application-specific climate projections using global and regional climate models, statistically downscaled datasets, and weather generators, (3) Uncertainty in regional climate model simulations of the water and energy cycles over agricultural areas, (4) Causes and predictability of climate extremes (droughts, floods, heat waves), and (5) Implications of climate change for the Northeastern United States.

015 Fairchild
HB 6017
Earth Sciences
B.S. SUNY College of Environmental Science and Forestry, 2003
M.S. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2006
P.h.D. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2009

Selected Publications

Partridge, T.F., J.M. Winter, L. Liu, A.D. Kendall, B. Basso, and D.W. Hyndman, 2019: Mid-20th century warming hole boosts US maize yields. Environmental Research Letters, 14, 114008.

Wallace, D., V. Ratti, A. Kodali, J.M. Winter, M.P. Ayres, J.W. Chipman, C.F. Aoki, E.C. Osterberg, C. Silvanic, T.F. Partridge, and M.J. Webb, 2019: Effect of Rising Temperature on Lyme Disease: Ixodes scapularis Population Dynamics and Borrelia burgdorferi Transmission and Prevalence. Canadian Journal of Infectious Diseases and Medical Microbiology, 9817930, 1-15.

Coffel, E.D., R.M. Horton, J.M. Winter, and J.S. Mankin, 2019: Nonlinear increases in extreme temperatures paradoxically dampen increases in extreme humid-heat. Environmental Research Letters, 14, 084003.

Clemins, P.J., G. Bucini, J.M. Winter, B. Beckage, E. Towler, A. Betts, R. Cummings, and H.C. Queiroz, 2019: An Analog Approach for Weather Estimation Using Climate Change Projections and Reanalysis Data. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 58, 1763–1777.

Winter, J.M., F. Bowen, J. Chipman, and T.F. Partridge, 2019: Future Extreme Event Vulnerability in the Rural Northeastern United States. Annals of the American Association of Geographers, 109, 1110-1130.

Spera, S.A., J.M. Winter, and J. Chipman, 2018: Evaluation of agricultural land cover representations on regional climate model simulations in the Brazilian Cerrado. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 123, 5163-5176.

Huang, H., J.M. Winter, and E.C. Osterberg, 2018: Mechanisms of extreme precipitation changes over the Northeastern United States. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 123, 7179-7192.

Mehta, V., C. Young, S.R. Bresney, D.S. Spivak and J.M. Winter, 2018: How can we support the development of robust groundwater sustainability plans? California Agriculture, 72, 54-64.

Partridge, T.F., J.M. Winter, E.C. Osterberg, A.D. Kendall, D.W. Hyndman, and F. J. Magilligan, 2018: Spatially distinct seasonal patterns and forcings of the U.S. warming hole. Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 2055-2063.

Beckage, B., L.J. Gross, K. Lacasse, E. Carr, S.S. Metcalf, J.M. Winter, P.D. Howe, N. Fefferman, A. Zia, T. Frank, A. Kinzig, and F.M. Hoffman, 2018: Linking Models of Human Behavior and Climate Alters Projected Climate Change. Nature Climate Change, 8, 79-84.

Alter, R.E., H.C. Douglas, J.M. Winter, and E.A.B. Eltahir, 2018: Twentieth Century Regional Climate Change During the Summer in the Central United States Attributed to Agricultural Intensification. Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 1586-1594.

McDermid, S. Shukla and J.M. Winter, 2017: Anthropogenic Forcings on the Climate of the Aral Sea: A Regional Modeling Perspective. Anthropocene, 20, 48-60.

Winter, J.M., C. Young, V. Mehta, A.C. Ruane, M. Azarderakhsh, A. Davitt, K. McDonald, V.R. Haden, and C. Rosenzweig, 2017: Integrating water supply constraints into simulations of California’s irrigated agricultural areas. Environmental Modelling and Software, 96, 335-346.

Huang, H., J.M. Winter, E.C. Osterberg, R.M. Horton, and B. Beckage, 2017: Total and extreme precipitation changes over the northeastern United States. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18, 1783-1798.

Winter, J.M., J.R. Lopez, A.C. Ruane, C. Young, B.R. Scanlon, and C. Rosenzweig, 2017: Representing Water Scarcity in Future Agricultural Assessments. Anthropocene, 18, 15-26.

Lopez, J.R., J.M. Winter, J. Elliott, A.C. Ruane, C.H. Porter, and G. Hoogenboom, 2017: Integrating Growth Stage Deficit Irrigation into a Process Based Crop Model. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 243, 84-92.

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